The George Washington University
Dept. of Economics

Brown Bag and Universty Seminar Series on Forecasting - Fall, 2009
(joint with with Federal Forecasters Consortium)

The Brown Bag and University Seminar Series on Forecasting generally meets Tuesdays 12:30 p.m. - 2:00 p.m. in the John W. Kendrick Seminar Room, Room 321 at 2115 G Street unless otherwise noted. For more information please contact Professor Tara Sinclair at (202) 994-6150 or tsinc@gwu.edu.

Tuesday, September 8, 12:30 pm - 2 pm
Neil Ericsson, FRB
"Forecasting and Empirical Model Selection"

WEDNESDAY, September 16, 2:30 - 4 pm
Gabriel Perez-Quiros, Bank of Spain
"Introducing the Euro-STING: Short-Term INdicator of Euro Area Growth"
(joint with GWU Macro-International Seminar)

Tuesday, September 22, 2:00 pm – 3:30
Chris Crowe, IMF
"Consensus forecasts and inefficient information aggregation"

Tuesday, October 13, 12:30 pm - 2 pm
Kirstin Hubrich, ECB and FRB
"Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets"
(joint work with Ken West)

THURSDAY, October 29, 2:00 - 3:30 pm
Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University
"Real-time VAR Forecasting with a Judgmental Democratic Prior"

Tuesday, November 3, 2:00 – 3:30 pm
James Morley, Washington University in St. Louis
“Unplanned Inventories and the Decline in GDP Volatility”

Tuesday, November 17, 12:30 pm - 2 pm
Prakash Loungani, IMF
"Forecasting Turning Points: Consensus and Disagreement"
(Joint work with Natalia Tamirisa and Herman O. Stekler)

Tuesday, December 15, 12:30 pm - 2 pm
TBA