THE SPACE POLICY INSTITUTE

The Elliott School of International Affairs
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INSTITUTE RESEARCH
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Earth at Night
                                                                                                                Photo: NASA


Most of the research projects carried out by the Space Policy Institute are supported by funding from government agencies or the private sector.  The Space Policy Institute is actively involved in a wide range of space-related activities, confirming its central role in research, public and policy outreach, and discussion of major space policy issues.
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Current and Recent Research Projects

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RESEARCH ON PRIVATE SPACE FLIGHT

The Space Policy Institute, in partnership with Space and Advanced Communication Research Institute (in the School of Engineering at GW), MIT, and the Aerospace Corporation is carrying out a study for the Federal Aviation Administration, Office of Commercial Space Transportation on regulatory issues concerning private human space flight. The questions to be addressed range from addressing the effectiveness of the existing regulations for human suborbital flight to the federal government’s role in promoting as well as regulating human space flight. The study began in November 2007 and will end in September 2008. At SPI, the study is being led by Research Professor Henry Hertzfeld.

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COLLECTIVE SECURITY IN SPACE
DEVELOPING AN INTERNATIONALLY ACCEPTED APPROACH

As an increasing number of nations use space systems to advance their social, economic, and national security interests, there is a parallel increase in attention to how best to ensure that those systems can operate free of threats of disruption. To date, that freedom has resulted from mutual self-interest in avoiding accidental or purposeful interference with space operations that are peaceful in character. But many analysts and officials around the world are coming to the recognition that more concrete positive steps and more mutual understandings may be needed to provide adequate space security for all who depend on the ability to access and use the space environment.

There has been long-standing interest on the part of several spacefaring countries in developing a treaty-based approach to the prevention of an arms race in outer space. The leading space nation, the United States, has opposed such an approach, arguing that there is no prospect of such an arms race. Nevertheless, concerns about the potential weaponization of space have increased in recent years. In the United States particularly, those fears have led to the emergence of a community of analysts and non-governmental actors who point out that there are many alternatives to space weaponization for allowing the United States to achieve its space security objectives.  They argue that space security is an issue of interest to many countries and that some sort of collective approach to space security is preferable to a unilateral approach that includes the resort to space weapons.

With the financial support of the John T. and Catherine D. MacArthur Foundation, the Space Policy Institute initiated a two-year project in 2006 aimed at stimulating international discussions to identify specific positive steps towards collective space security. There have been a number of suggestions, mainly originating in the United States, of approaches that might be internationally acceptable, including increased space situational awareness, various confidence-building measures, “rules of the road,” and a space code of conduct. This project aims at extending the examination of such alternatives to the broader international community of analysts and government officials. It hopes to stimulate regional discussions of space security questions in both Europe and Asia and to provide a basis for further discussions within the United States on how best to achieve overall U.S. interests in space in cooperation with other space actors.

            During 2006, the project focused its attention on European perspectives on space security. It first commissioned studies from leading European space experts and officials. Although there has been a fair amount of recent attention to security space topics in Europe, most studies to date have focused relatively narrowly on the capabilities to meet European security requirements. There has not been careful attention given to issues of global space security and to how Europe should be involved in achieving that broader objective.

            The commissioned papers were discussed at a May 15-16, 2006, Paris workshop co-hosted by the Foundation for Strategic Research, located there.  This workshop brought together leading analysts and officials from Europe, in addition to the authors of the commissioned papers.  To view the agenda for the workshop and workshop presentations, click here. The papers from the May 2006 conference will be published in early 2007.

            A similar set of activities, with a focus on Asia/Pacific countries, took place during 2007, with a workshop held in Tokyo on April 23-24. The workshop was co-organized with the Monterey Institute of International Studies and the Tokyo-based Research Institute for Peace and Security.

            The project is being managed by the Space Policy Institute of George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs, an organization well-versed in security space issues. Institute Director Dr. John Logsdon is supervising the project. Serving as senior project consultant is Dr. Clay Moltz of the Naval Postgraduate School, another individual quite familiar with issues of space security. Professor Kazuto Suzuki, University of Tsukuba, Japan served as a project consultant during 2007.

Further information on the “Collective Security in Space” project is available by contacting Dr. Logsdon at logsdon@gwu.edu.

  This current project builds on the efforts from 2001-2005 of the Space Policy Institute and GW’s Security Policy Program on issues of space weaponization and space security. The results of the initial years of that activity are available in two publications: John Logsdon and Gordon Adams, "Space Weapons: Are they Needed?" (2003) and John M. Logsdon and Audrey M. Schaffer, eds., "Perspectives on Space Security" (2005). To obtain a copy of one or both of these publications, click here.  

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Sponsored by:
Space Policy Institute
Elliott School of International Affairs
George Washington University
Washington, D.C.
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Space Weapon
                             Photo: Space.com

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"The Socioeconomic Benefits of NASA's Earth Science and Applications Research"
Ray A. Williamson, Principal Investigator, Henry R. Hertzfeld, Joseph Cordes, John M. Logsdon

NASA's and NOAA's prior investments in Earth science research from space have led to an improved understanding of the critical forcing functions behind changes in weather and climate.  The research has also resulted in deeper understanding of the basic characteristics and observable phenomena of earthquakes and volcanic activity, as well as insights into the long-term effects of worldwide changes in land cover and land use.  Based on past results, NASA's scientists expect that further investment in Earth science satellite data, modeling, and algorithm development will, among other things, vastly improve their ability to predict future weather and climate trends, as well as the onset of destructive earthquakes and volcanic activity.  They also expect their research to contribute to the development of methods that would enable more informed local decisions regarding land use.

Reducing the uncertainties surrounding the onset of severe weather conditions such as hurricanes and harsh winter storms would allow local officials and individuals to prepare ahead, vastly reducing economic losses and human suffering.  Greater accuracy in predicting future climate patterns would enable farmers, developers, and land managers to mitigate some of the harmful effects of possible changes, reducing future economic losses resulting from such changes.  Lengthening the warning time for the onset of major earthquakes could sharply reduce losses of human life.  In short, the practical applications of improved predictive capabilities will result in considerable benefit to the U.S. economy and in fewer lives lost during natural disasters.  Estimating possible social and economic benefits from Earth science research is subject to wide uncertainties.  Nevertheless, considerable progress has been made in recent years in making such estimates, giving policymakers a richer foundation upon which to make decisions regarding investments in Earth science research than they have had in the past.

This study, undertaken by the Space Policy Institute of The George Washington University, will develop estimates of the socioeconomic benefits to the United States of continued investments in earth science research and applications.  It will support NASA's efforts to develop the Earth Science Vision 2025 and be conducted in two phases:

Phase I:  Review previous research on near term (about a decade) economic and quality of life benefits resulting from previous and near term investments in Earth science and technology.

Phase II:  Develop estimates to 2025 of economic and quality of life benefits resulting from continued NASA investment in Earth science and technology.

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"Exploring the Unknown: Selected Documents in the History of the U.S. Civil Space Program"
John M. Logsdon, General Editor, NASA, History Office, ongoing

The Exploring the Unknown series, which will ultimately comprise eight volumes, will be an essential reference work for those interested in U.S. space policy and programs.  Each volume in the series covers a particular element of U.S. space activity; the volumes contain the reproduced texts of key documents, with each section of the volume introduced by an overview essay and each document by an introductory headnote.  Volume I of the series, released in February 1996, covered early thinking on space and its relation to national goals, issues involved in organizing the U.S. space program, and the evolution of U.S. space policy.  Volume II, released in March 1997, focused on NASA's interactions with other countries, the Department of Defense, and industry and academia.  Volume III, released in November 1998, surveys U.S. activities in satellite communications and remote sensing of the Earth, and the economic impact of U.S. space activities.  Volume IV, released in December 1999, covers space transportation issues.  It was selected as the winner of the Jefferson Prize for 2000 for the best book on the documentary history of the Federal government.  Volume V, released in September 2001, covers the evolution and organization of the U.S. space science program, solar system exploration, and astronomy and astrophysics.  Volume VI, released in October 2004,  covers remaining space and Earth science activities.  Volume VII, to be released early in 2008, will cover the Mercury, Gemini and Apollo Programs and volume VIII will cover the U.S. space station programs.

This series is published by the Government Printing Office as NASA SP-4407.  They are available for purchase from the GPO or the NASA Information Center.

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"Dual Purpose Space Technologies: Opportunities and Challenges for Policymaking"
Ray Williamson, Principal Investigator

This study examined the implications for national security planning of the increasing dependence on dual-use technologies.  Space systems, including satellite communications, earth imaging, and navigation, have become central to U.S. security planning.  These systems are also the basis of a rapidly growing international business.  American policymakers face new opportunities and new challenges in making space policy decisions.  What balance should be struck between minimizing possible national security risks and promoting U.S. commercial interests?  What advantages or limitations do dual-purpose space technologies offer to U.S. military planners?  What measures should the United States and its allies adopt to manage the proliferation of space technologies?

After two years of research and discussion, the results of the project were published by the Space Policy Institute in July 2001 as Ray W. Williamson, ed., Dual-Purpose Space Technologies: Opportunities and Challenges for U.S. Policymaking.  To view a table of contents of this report, click here.  To request a copy, send an email to spi@gwu.edu.

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    "Privatizing the Space Shuttle:  Issues and Approaches"
    John M. Logsdon, Ray A. Williamson, and Henry R. Hertzfeld, Principal Investigators
    NASA, Office of Spaceflight

    This study helped NASA respond to a Congressional directive to plan for eventual privatization of the Space Shuttle.  It examined a variety of policy and legal issues associated with Shuttle privatization and examined past government experience with respect to privatizing government-developed and government-owned assets and activities.

    For a copy of the report, click here

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